27 June 2013

{E} Weather: Track of TC "Gorio" (Rumbia/1306) [FINAL]

Tropical Cyclone "Gorio"

International Name: Rumbia
RSMC-Tokyo Designated Code: 1306
Joint Typhoon Warning Center Designated Code: 06W


For PAGASA Doppler Radar:

Center Position Imagery of TC "Gorio"

Center position of TC "Gorio" at 11:25:08AM 06/30/2013 PHT (UTC+8).
"Gorio" was located West of Central Luzon

(retrieved from PAGASA Subic Radar Station via climatex.ph)
Center Position of Severe Tropical Storm "Rumbia"
at 11:29:29PM 2013/07/01 CST (PHT, UTC+8).
Rumbia was located northeast of Hainan Province, People's Republic of China and was approaching landfall over southwestern tip of Guangdong.
(retrieved from Haikou Radar Station of China Met. Administration via weather.gov.cn)
Center Position of Severe Tropical Storm "Rumbia" making landfall over southwestern tip of Guangdong Province at 5:31:42PM 2013/07/02 CST (PHT, UTC+8).
(retrieved from Haikou Radar Station of China Met. Administration via weather.com.cn)

LANDFALL AREAS***:

PAGASA
>> SAMAR ISLAND (accurate*)
>> BICOL REGION (accurate*)
>> SOUTHERN LUZON (accurate*)
>> CENTRAL LUZON (never occurred*)
Cyclocane
>> SAMAR ISLAND (missed**)
>> BICOL REGION (accurate**)
>> SOUTHERN LUZON (accurate**)
>> METRO MANILA AND  CENTRAL LUZON (never occurred**)
JTWC-US Navy
>> SAMAR ISLAND (accurate*)
>> BICOL REGION (accurate*)
>> SOUTHERN LUZON (accurate*)
>> METRO MANILA AND CENTRAL LUZON (never occurred*)
JMA (RSMC-Tokyo)
>> SAMAR ISLAND (missed*)
>> BICOL REGION (accurate*)
>> SOUTHERN LUZON (accurate*)
>> METRO MANILA AND CENTRAL LUZON (never occurred*)
Notes:
*  landfall forecast accuracy based on forecast error area
** landfall forecast accuracy based on center position forecast as it does not give forecast error area
*** possible landfall area interpreted based on center position forecast [the center line], not on forecast error area

PAGASA Final Track (PHT, UTC+8)




Japan Meteorologcial Agency Final Track



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