17 July 2013

{E} Weather: Latest Track of TC "Isang" (Cimaron/1308)

Tropical Cyclone "Isang"

International Name: Cimaron
RSMC-Tokyo Designated Code: 1308
Joint Typhoon Warning Center Designated Code: 08W


For PAGASA Doppler Radar:

Doppler Radar Imagery

Tropical Depression "Isang" (Cimaron) about to make landfall over northeastern part of Cagayan Province at 17 July 2013 04:25:00AM PHT (UTC+8).
Notice the 20m/s (~70kph) winds near the center.
Retrieved from PAGASA Aparri Radar via Northern Luzon PRSD website.

POSSIBLE LANDFALL:

PAGASA
>> ISABELA-CAGAYAN (accurate)*
JMA
>> CAGAYAN PROVINCE (accurate)
Cyclocane
>> CAGAYAN PROVINCE (accurate)

Note:
*only PAGASA reported a landfall over Isabela.


PAGASA Latest Track (PHT, UTC+8)




Japan Meteorological Agency Latest Track (UTC, PHT-8)




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10 July 2013

{E} Weather: Track of TC "Huaning" (Soulik/1307) [FINAL]

Tropical Cyclone "Huaning"

International Name: Soulik
RSMC-Tokyo Designated Code: 1307
Joint Typhoon Warning Center Designated Code: 07W


For PAGASA Doppler Radar:

Doppler Radar Images

Center Position (or the eye) of Typhoon Huaning (Soulik)
at 12 July 2013 10:00:00PM PHT (UTC+8)
located west of Ryukyu Islands, Japan as it approaches Taiwan for landfall.
Retrieved from Japan Meteorological Agency.
Typhoon Huaning (Soulik) making landfall over Northern Taiwan
at 13 July 2013 03:10:21 PHT (UTC+8). Retrieved from China Meteorological Administration Fuzhou Radar Station via weather.com.cn
PAGASA Final Track (PHT, UTC+8)



Digital Typhoon Final Track (PHT-8, UTC)


Japan Meteorological Agency Final Track (PHT-8, UTC)



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27 June 2013

{E} Weather: Track of TC "Gorio" (Rumbia/1306) [FINAL]

Tropical Cyclone "Gorio"

International Name: Rumbia
RSMC-Tokyo Designated Code: 1306
Joint Typhoon Warning Center Designated Code: 06W


For PAGASA Doppler Radar:

Center Position Imagery of TC "Gorio"

Center position of TC "Gorio" at 11:25:08AM 06/30/2013 PHT (UTC+8).
"Gorio" was located West of Central Luzon

(retrieved from PAGASA Subic Radar Station via climatex.ph)
Center Position of Severe Tropical Storm "Rumbia"
at 11:29:29PM 2013/07/01 CST (PHT, UTC+8).
Rumbia was located northeast of Hainan Province, People's Republic of China and was approaching landfall over southwestern tip of Guangdong.
(retrieved from Haikou Radar Station of China Met. Administration via weather.gov.cn)
Center Position of Severe Tropical Storm "Rumbia" making landfall over southwestern tip of Guangdong Province at 5:31:42PM 2013/07/02 CST (PHT, UTC+8).
(retrieved from Haikou Radar Station of China Met. Administration via weather.com.cn)

LANDFALL AREAS***:

PAGASA
>> SAMAR ISLAND (accurate*)
>> BICOL REGION (accurate*)
>> SOUTHERN LUZON (accurate*)
>> CENTRAL LUZON (never occurred*)
Cyclocane
>> SAMAR ISLAND (missed**)
>> BICOL REGION (accurate**)
>> SOUTHERN LUZON (accurate**)
>> METRO MANILA AND  CENTRAL LUZON (never occurred**)
JTWC-US Navy
>> SAMAR ISLAND (accurate*)
>> BICOL REGION (accurate*)
>> SOUTHERN LUZON (accurate*)
>> METRO MANILA AND CENTRAL LUZON (never occurred*)
JMA (RSMC-Tokyo)
>> SAMAR ISLAND (missed*)
>> BICOL REGION (accurate*)
>> SOUTHERN LUZON (accurate*)
>> METRO MANILA AND CENTRAL LUZON (never occurred*)
Notes:
*  landfall forecast accuracy based on forecast error area
** landfall forecast accuracy based on center position forecast as it does not give forecast error area
*** possible landfall area interpreted based on center position forecast [the center line], not on forecast error area

PAGASA Final Track (PHT, UTC+8)




Japan Meteorologcial Agency Final Track



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20 June 2013

{E} Weather: Track of TC "Fabian" (Bebinca/1305) [FINAL]

Tropical Cyclone "Fabian"

International Name: Bebinca
RSMC-Tokyo Designated Number: 1305

For PAGASA Doppler Radar:


PAGASA Final Track (PHT, UTC+8)


Japan Meteorological Agency Final Track (PHT+1, UTC+9)



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16 June 2013

{E} Weather: Track of TC "Emong" (Leepi/1304) [FINAL]

Tropical Cyclone "Emong"

International Name: Leepi
RSMC-Tokyo Designated Code: 1304

For PAGASA Doppler Radar:

PAGASA Final Track (PHT, UTC+8)



Japan Meteorological Agency Final Track (PHT+1, UTC+9)


Track of Tropical Cyclone "Leepi" is numbered 4.
Then newly-upgraded Tropical Storm "Bebinca" (Local Name: "Fabian") is numbered as 5.

Tropical Storm Risk Track



Digital Typhoon Track





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08 June 2013

{E} Weather: Track of TC "Dante" (Yagi/1303) [FINAL]

Tropical Cyclone (TC) "Dante":
International Codename: "Yagi"
RSMC-Tokyo (JMA) Designated Number: 1303
PAGASA Doppler Radar:

PAGASA-DOST Final Track (PHT)



Japan Meteorological Agency Final Track


 
Digital Typhoon Best Track (Final)





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04 May 2013

{E} Exclusive: Update on H7N9

Update as of 0100H, 13 May 2013 (GMT+8)

Sources:
Ministry of Health (MOH), People's Republic of China
Xinhua News Agency
www.guancha.cn
www.huoche.net
Local health agencies of each affected provinces of China

Disclaimer:
Data obtained from the sources mentioned above, no copyright infringement intended. This blog does not regard any data below as its own.
Should there be data updates and/or discrepancies, this blog post shall be updated as soon as possible.

Notes:
"LHA" stands for "Local Health Agency".
"TRF cases" refers to "Total (number of cases)-(No. of) Recovered (patients)-(No. of) Fatal cases."

Color codes:
Data in red (in smaller font, enclosed in parentheses) are from the official release from the MOH as of 1600H, 6 May 2013.
Data in blue are from total count by guancha.cn as of 12 May 2013.
Data in gray italics cannot be clearly confirmed.
Date in green italics are confirmed based on two or more of the reliable sources except MOH.

Patient Recovery count:
As the recent official release from MOH and other reliable sources do not give patient recovery count for each province, the sum of each province below may not be the same with the total shown in the H7N9 cases section. However, patient recovery count is still continuously updated based on their single, unconsolidated reports and updates.

Influenza A subtype H7N9 cases

  • No. of confirmed cases: 131
    • People's Republic of China: 130 (129 excl. Taiwan)
    • Taiwan: 1
  • No. of recovered patients: 45 (42) (All PRC)
    • Patient recovery rate: 34.4% (PRC+Taiwan) (record high)
  • No. of fatal cases: 33 (31) (All PRC)
    • Mortality rate: 25.2% (PRC+Taiwan) (lowest: 28 Apr = 18.3%)
  • Transmission: Bird-to-human

Affected Areas (Breakdown by province)

  • Shanghai
    • LHA: Shanghai Municipal Health Bureau
    • TRF: 33-15-14 (33-14-13)
    • First case: (fatal) 4 Mar (reported 31 Mar)
    • Latest confirmed case report: 20 Apr (23 days ago)
    • Latest patient recovery report: 6 May (7 days ago)
      • Patient recovery rate: 45.5% (record high)
    • Latest fatal case report: 11 May (2 days ago)
      • Mortality rate: 42.2% (lowest: 21 Apr = 33.3%)
  • Anhui
    • LHA: Anhui Provincial Health Bureau
    • TRF: 4-1-2 (4-1-2)
    • First case: 29 Mar (reported 31 Mar)
    • Latest confirmed case report: 23 Apr (20 days ago)
    • Latest patient recovery report: 17 Apr (26 days ago, reported 20 Apr, its first)
      • Patient recovery rate: 25% (highest: 17 Apr = 33.3%)
    • Latest fatal case report: 6 May (7 days ago)
      • Mortality rate: 50% (lowest: 8 Apr = 0%)
  • Jiangsu
    • LHA: Jiangsu Province Department of Health
    • TRF: 27-1-8 (27-1-8)
    • First case: 30 Mar (reported 31 Mar)
    • Latest confirmed case report: 27 Apr (16 days ago)
    • Latest patient recovery report: 27 Apr (16 days ago, its first)
      • Patient recovery rate: 3.7% (record high)
    • Latest fatal case report: 6 May (7 days ago)
      • Mortality rate: 29.6% (lowest: 8 Apr = 0%)
  • Zhejiang
    • LHA: Department of Health of Zhejiang Province
    • TRF: 46-19-7 (46-19-7)
    • First case: 3 Apr
    • Latest confirmed case report: 28 Apr (15 days ago)
    • Latest patient recovery report: 9 May (4 days ago)
      • Patient recovery rate: 41.3% (record high)
    • Latest fatal case report: 6 May (7 days ago)
      • Mortality rate: 15.2% (lowest: 19 Apr = 6.7%)
  • Beijing
    • LHA: Beijing Municipal Health Bureau
    • TRF: 1-1-0 (1-1-0)
    • First case: 13 Apr
    • Latest confirmed case report: 13 Apr (30 days ago, its first)
    • Latest patient recovery report: 17 Apr (26 days ago, its first)
      • Patient recovery rate: 100% (record high)
  • Henan
    • LHA: Henan Provincial Health Bureau
    • TRF: 4-3-1 (4-2-0)
    • First case: 17 Apr
    • Latest confirmed case report: 25 Apr (18 days ago)
    • Latest patient recovery report: 7 May (6 days ago)
      • Patient recovery rate: 75% (record high)
    • Latest fatal case report: 9 May (4 days ago, its first)
      • Mortality rate: 25% (lowest: 8 May = 0%)
  • Shandong
    • LHA: Health Department of Shandong Province
    • TRF: 2-1-0 (2-0-0)
    • First case: 23 Apr
    • Latest confirmed case report: 28 Apr (15 days ago)
    • Latest patient recovery report: 7 May (6 days ago, its first)
      • Patient recovery rate: 50% (record high)
  • Jiangxi
    • LHA: Department of Health of Jiangxi Province
    • TRF: 6-1-1 (5-0-1)
    • First case: 25 Apr
    • Latest confirmed case report: 28 Apr (15 days ago)
    • Latest patient recovery report: 8 May (5 days ago, its first)
      • Patient recovery rate: 16.7% (record high)
    • Latest fatal case report: 2 May (11 days ago)
      • Mortality rate: 20% (lowest: 1 May = 0%)
  • Fujian
    • LHA: Fujian Provincial Health Bureau
    • TRF: 5-2-0 (5-1-0)
    • First case: 26 Apr
    • Latest confirmed case report: 6 May (7 days ago)
    • Latest patient recovery report: 10 May (3 days ago)
      • Patient recovery rate: 40% (record high)
  • Hunan

  • Taiwan
    • TRF: 1-0-0
    • First case: 24 Apr
    • Latest confirmed case report: 24 Apr (19 days ago, its first)

News

  • MOH May 6 1600H report: 129 confirmed cases in Mainland, 31 are fatal, 42 have recovered. (MOH)
  • MOH May 1 1600H report: 127 confirmed cases in Mainland, 26 are fatal, 26 have recovered. (MOH)
  • Guangdong Province becomes more and more vulnerable to AH7N9. (Xinhua)
  • Shandong's second AH7N9 case is the first victim's son. (Xinhua, MOH)
  • Shanghai Health Bureau saw a drop in the number of confirmed cases reported in the past 10 days. (Xinhua)
  • MOH will not release daily updates starting April 24, will just do it in a weekly basis. (MOH)

|| cHNJoeCo03276>X>145XQObh

05 April 2013

{E} PUBLIC SERVICE: Philippine Tiong Se Academy Alumni Reunion

For the third time in a row, the first Chinese school in the Philippines, Philippine Tiong Se Academy (PTSA), will be having its grand alumni reunion on 14 April 2013 (Sunday) at PTSA Carlos Palanca Gymnasium. The event will start at 10:30AM.

PTSA is located at 708 Sta. Elena Street, Binondo, Manila near the mall cluster of 168, 999, Cityplace Square and the Lucky Chinatown.
PTSA 2013 Alumni Reunion. (Image obtained from PTSA Facebook page)
For inquiries, kindly contact the school through its official Facebook page: facebook.com/TiongSeAcademy

|| cHNJoeCo03272in614in65912QOba

20 March 2013

{E} All is new...

Today, the 20th of March 2013, all is new.

1. New online accounts.

Increment to my existing web accounts are my WeChat and Instagram. As of now, I'm not yet done with these newbies in the JoeCo0327 online fam. So I ask for everybody's understanding. For the meantime, you may add or follow me there.
WeChat: JoeCo0327
Instagram: instagram.com/JoeCo0327

2. New way of expressing myself.

A year ago, I planned of having myself a podcast. However, due to some complicated reasons, I gave up that ambition. Nevertheless, I saw an opening and that is through an online webcast.
You can hear me on freedocast.com/JoeCo0327 everyday, but with varying timeslots. (You may see the webcast schedule by clicking on the "My Webcast" above.)

3. New Wikipedia user page content
You've get to know me better by taking a moment visiting my user page at en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:JoeCo0327. A lot of info about me are found there.

4. New blog experience.

Lastly, this blog has undergone a major layout change as it went "dynamic" (well, that's the term used here in Blogger).
You may easily read the most recent blog posts as seen on the left side.
My blog's name has been changed, if you did not notice. Various topics (which I shortened to TOPS) will be found  only here. I think this is a great distinction from other blogs -- having politics, weather, inspirational stories, thoughts, experiences, music, humor and trivia found in just one blog.
"Blog typing" is still implemented here, but new Type E, M, and P graphics are to be shown starting today.

Nevertheless, my Facebook and Twitter accounts will still be the same.

I hope everybody could enjoy the JoeCo0327 experience. Suggestions and opinions are still welcome.

Thanks for patronizing!

|| cHNJoeCo0327<4>n113n14512QObqo

06 March 2013

{E} BLOG ADVISORY (6th March 2013)


Improved, with a major facelift...

This blog, as it exists for more than a year now, deserves improvements in layout and in its content.

It will present more relevant, more serious and more inspiring blog posts which will enter the digital realms starting March 15 16 20, together with my existing and NEW online accounts.

Let's get "mixing the tops" VERY SOON!

|| cHNJoeCo0327X>84>i14512QObg

13 January 2013

{E} Current PAGASA Doppler Radar status


All images are retrieved from ClimateX.ph. No copyright infringement intended.
All Doppler radar stations are owned by PAGASA-DOST and such data are being shown via Project NOAH and ClimateX.

Notes:
Online - radar images/animations from the PAGASA radar station can be seen in Project NOAH and/or ClimateX websites.
Operational but not online - these Doppler radars are working but not yet available online.
Station under construction - future Doppler radar stations of PAGASA, construction not yet completed, however, the weather bureau is hoping that these stations may finally be operational by the end of the year.

Doppler radar images below show their 240 kilometer (km) coverage, but they have the capacity to cover as far as 480 kms. especially during severe weather conditions.

LUZON
1. Baguio City (online since 201207, 201212)
Within 240km Radius Coverage:
CAR: Baguio City, Apayao (southern part), Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Abr
Region I: Ilocos Norte (southern part), Ilocos Sur, La Union, and Pangasinan
Region II: Cagayan (southwestern part including Tuguegarao City), Isabela (western and central parts including Cauayan and Ilagan cities), Nueva Vizcaya, and Quirino
Region III: Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Zambales, and Bataan (except southern part)
Region IV-A: Quezon (northernmost part only), Rizal (northern part)
NCR: Caloocan, Malabon, Navotas, Valenzuela, Quezon City (northern part)



2. Subic, Zambales (online since 201206)


3. Tagaytay City, Cavite (online since 201206)


4. Baler, Aurora (operational but not online)
5. Virac, Catanduanes (operational but not online)
6. Aparri, Cagayan (operational but not online)
7. Busuanga, Palawan (station under construction)
8. somewhere in southern Palawan (status uncertain)

VISAYAS
1. Mactan, Lapu-Lapu City (online since 201206)


2. Guiuan, Eastern Samar (operational but not online)
3. Iloilo City (station under construction)

MINDANAO
1. Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur (online since 201206)


2. Tampakan, South Cotabato (online since 201301)


3. Zamboanga City (station under construction)

Read more:
{Type E} Didn't Hinatuan Radar really work in the wake of Typhoon Pablo?
{Type M} Project NOAH, ClimateX, and PAGASA Doppler radars

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06 January 2013

{E} Didn't Hinatuan Radar really work in the wake of Typhoon Pablo?


Recently, I read a news article from Mindanews.com dated Dec. 6, 2012 saying that Philippine president Noynoy Aquino was not aware that the country's state weather agency PAGASA's[1] Doppler radar station (or equipment) in Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur was not working at the time Typhoon Pablo[2] ravaged the supposed "typhoon-free" Mindanao.

Interior and Local Government Secretary Mar Roxas himself was not aware of the problem, and said that the President was not noted about it.

Read more: {E} Latest Track for Typhoon BOPHA (PABLO)


The eye of Typhoon Pablo (Bopha) over Davao Region
as shown in this Doppler radar imagery from the Hinatuan station.
From PAGASA's Facebook page
But, PAGASA's Facebook page posted one of Hinatuan radar's images showing the eye of Pablo over somewhere between Davao Oriental where it made landfall and the adjacent province of Compostela Valley December 4 morning.

I'm not saying that the news is completely wrong. No. The reporter(s) who asked Sec. Roxas perhaps consulted the Project NOAH website for the rainfall amount Typhoon Pablo had. And at that time, the Hinatuan radar is "under maintenance" (sorry, I don't have snapshots of it for proof), so he/she/they may had concluded it as "down".

Read more: {M} Project NOAH, ClimateX, and PAGASA Doppler radars

Nevertheless, with that image as basis, Hinatuan radar station was really working at that time.

I think, it is just the "connectivity problems" of the radar equipment with Project NOAH which was needed for resolution.

So this time, we cannot blame the radar equipment again for the loss of more than a thousand people, two years in a row.

Sorry peeps.

The thing is, our Doppler radars are now reliable in giving us rainfall updates in most parts of the country. I can't wait for all of them to appear in Project NOAH. I'm so excited to see it, very soon.

(Sorry to those who may have been struck and hurt by this blog post. I just based everything "on facts, not fiction".)

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Footnotes: [1] stands for Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration
[2] internationally known as Typhoon Bopha